By Jeremy Gates, Press Association
After 18 months, there is no sign the steep decline in house prices in
After 18 months, there is no sign the steep decline in house prices in
That's the view of the latest Global House Price Index from
A year only, only 27% of countries showed price falls.
In some countries, says Knight Frank, official figures "do not reflect the true extent of the decline."
"The current downturn is unlike any other we have ever witnessed in both scale and causes," says
"Experience of previous downturns, while potentially helpful, will not necessarily provide us with an accurate picture of when and how markets will emerge from the crisis - nor will pre-conceived ideas or hubris."
Knight Frank says price movements in different countries varied widely in 2008 because markets are at different points in the cycle of the housing downturn.
But even countries showing a rise during 2008 were showing a fall by the fourth quarter.
There seems little reason, at this stage, to anticipate an early bounce-back in prices. Markets could weaken further in response to more grim news in the financial sector.
"At some point, however, buyers will decide price falls in many markets represent once-in-a-generation opportunities that are too good to pass up," Barnes says.
For Britons buying abroad, the steeply falling value of the pound is an added problem. But plenty remain in the market looking for homes to enjoy, although fewer are likely to regard them as investments.
Specialist currency broker Foreign Currency Direct claims the proportion of potential overseas property buyers planning indefinite moves abroad actually rose 17% in the last year - although numbers of those keen to buy as an investment fell sharply.
"This investment can offer a better rate of return with rates so low," he says.
"We are seeing some major discounts in the property market, with some really good bargains on offer.
"In Spain and
Total British demand for homes abroad has probably halved in the past year, because of the mortgage squeeze,
"Only the cash rich can afford holiday homes, because they have to put down around 30% in cash in the UK, and perhaps 40% abroad. This is not an ideal time for the average person without big savings to buy," Kerns says.
He says departing Britons priced out of French and Spanish markets might start contemplating moving to Antipodean countries - "where they'll get more for their money and enjoy a better quality of life on their UK pension".
Wray says a £350,000 home in the US now costs a British buyer some £67,000 more than it did in
:: INFORMATION: Foreign Currency Direct (0800 328 5884); FC Exchange (0207 989 000); Moneycorp (0207 589 3000).
:: CITY CENTRE FLATS TAKE A BIG DROP UNDER HAMMER
Anybody with cash or loans in place to bid around £65,000 has got a chance of getting a newish town/city apartment in the next series of residential auctions from Countrywide Property Auctions from
Countrywide's sale at Haydock Park Racecourse of homes in the
In the Anfield district of
The
The
There's also a one bedroom flat in Streatham,
Countrywide Auctions managing director
Countrywide's last series of sales raised £10.6m on 106 homes sold out of 137 offered, a 78% success rate.
:: INFORMATION: Countrywide Property Auctions (01245 344 133).
:: SOUTH-WEST BUYERS CHASE STRONG RENTAL INCOME
As growing numbers of Britons plan holidays in the UK this summer, developers are switching new homes in
"There will be little difficulty finding tenants for two bedroom apartments, which would sell in the £200,000-250,000 range," he says.
"The idea of holiday lettings attracts developers in fashionable areas like Rock and the Watergate Bay area of North Cornwall made famous by
Blue Chip reservation levels on its properties are 55% up on 2008, with 60% of bookings made online. The company will arrange £8m worth of lettings during the year, and owners must make homes available for a minimum 20 weeks a year.
"Many properties are available for 40 weeks and more because more people are buying holiday homes purely as investments to earn money," Simpkin says.
"The strong euro means visitors from
"So far as British visitors are concerned, bookings come in much later as people leave it as late as they can to commit themselves. Bookings are still coming in for Easter."
Blue Chip figures suggest average rental income per property is around £20,000 per year, although large five bedroom detached houses with private pools can earn £50,000-plus.
"Many investors have had their fingers burned by global stock markets and the decreased level of interest paid on savings by banks and building societies," Simpkin says.
"On an investment of £250,000 at a generous fixed interest rate of 5%, you would net a return of £12,500 per annum, whereas we expect a property available for holiday letting to generate income upwards of £20,000 per year."
They paid £170,000 for one property advertised by the developer at £225,000, while the other (already on Blue Chip books) was bought with 13 weeks of rental income confirmed for the following year.
"We see terrific potential in Brixham, where considerable investment is going into the infrastructure, and the area is so much cheaper than Dartmouth than we believe prices are likely to rise in the medium term," Higginson says.
"We are a bit concerned everybody is jumping on the bandwagon to buy holiday homes in the South West, but demand should rise as more Britons take holidays at home."
The couple say that Brixham, as a working port, has great attractions for boating enthusiasts - and a compact, community feel you don't find in nearby
The
All sales have been achieved off plan since the autumn, with an average price of £500,000, with first completions in
Hugging the cliffs above Saunton Sands Beach, the luxury apartments offer easy access to the South Coast Path, the Tarka Trail, with world championship golf courses and Exmoor within easy reach.
"With the UK self-catering holiday market buoyant, buyers see this as a 'once in a lifetime' opportunity to buy a unique holiday home which can generate income in a tax-efficient way,"
To ensure favourable tax treatment of rental income, holiday home owners have to make a property available to let for a minimum 140 days a year, let it for at least 70 days and not to the same person for more than 31 days.
:: INFORMATION: Blue Chip Vacations (01803 855 282 and www.bluechipvacations.com);
Brixham apartments owned by the Higginsons can be viewed online at www.bluegoosemarine.com.
:: ESTATE AGENTS CONSIDER NEW PLAN FOR REGISTER
Unscrupulous estate agents may have their wings trimmed by a new proposal to establish a register that they would have to join before they are allowed to practice.
The scheme would create the licensing system, which has been suggested and discussed for estate agents for much of the past 20 years.
The new initiative has come from
Writing in the current issue of
He believes a new registration service would avoid a "feeding frenzy by inexperienced and unprofessional individuals when the market recovers".
"We want an industry that can prove its worth and show that our commission rates - laughably low compared with those abroad - are not a rip-off, and that the service we provide is good and of great value."
If his plan is accepted, McClintock says "no place on the register would mean no job, so it's a simple and effective means of control".
A steering group, possibly 10-strong with representation by leading professional bodies, will now take a closer look at the plan, and at what has to be done to bring it into effect.
ends
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