By Jeremy Gates, PA Features
A dramatic plunge in values on certain sectors of the residential housing market is being highlighted as repossessions account for around 25% of homes going under the hammer at auctions.
A dramatic plunge in values on certain sectors of the residential housing market is being highlighted as repossessions account for around 25% of homes going under the hammer at auctions.
In many cases, it seems city-centre flats bought brand new in the past four years resell at prices less than half of the figure originally recorded on the Land Registry records.
An analysis by
Auctioned this summer after repossessions, they went for £71,000 and £77,500.
"By comparing the price achieved in the auction room with the original figure on Land Registry records, we can ascertain that auction room prices are an average 43% below prices agreed for the original sale," Sandeman says.
However, market commentators point out that builders always put as high a price as possible on Land Registry records to assure customers, rival builders and their bankers that their sites are proving successful.
This could distort the fall which has actually occurred.
It is possible that homes recorded in the Land Registry as originally sold for £240,000 might actually have changed hands for perhaps 10% less - around £216,000 - when all buyer 'perks', including payment of Stamp Duty and mortgage subsidy, are taken into account.
In some cases, original purchases may have been made by investors advised to buy by investment clubs claiming to get 'discounts' on full open-market value.
"Quite often, naive purchasers paid prices which reflected ridiculous yields," Sandeman says.
"For instance, typical two-bedroom flats capable of earning around £700 per week were sold for around £200,000, with no regard whatever for void periods or service charges which would have to be paid.
"Some shady people behind many deals still haven't been brought to light."
The Essential figures record a one-bedroom flat in Thamesmead,
Two other one-bedroom apartments in Gotts Road,
Since the start of 2008, Sandeman says records suggest that 1,129 new-build flats have been sold in auctions since the start of the year - and there is little sign so far that their values are levelling off.
In its brochure for sales in October-November. Countrywide Property Auctions lists several homes sold for much higher prices just a few years back.
Countrywide's
In
In the same sale, a two-bedroom, four-floor waterside apartment in
In the
In Webb's Factory, a conversion in central
All these figures suggest there were numerous exceptions to the booming property figures which the leading lenders published since 2000 - many properties were plainly losing value throughout that time.
The eventual reckoning for people who were persuaded by builders and other 'experts' to buy them could be grim.
"Some lenders deal with this situation by becoming receivers in rents - a good proportion of the mortgage repayment can be covered by rent which they collect," says
"But if the borrower cannot repay the loan when a property is sold, the debt remains due to the lender unless a borrower goes bankrupt to get the debt written off.
"Lenders can pursue people for up to 12 years for money owed, although the
"What tended to happen in the early 1990s was that lenders tended to take the pragmatic view. If borrowers quickly agree to repay a reasonable amount, many lenders take it and write the rest off."
:: A former public toilet on two levels in Fulham with a total floor space around 450 sq ft poses a challenge for any developer prepared to pay upwards of £90,000 in the next Savills Residential Auction on
Although most of the space is at basement level,
The sale also includes: a two-bedroom first-floor flat in
Would-be investors might also be tempted by a three-bedroom mid-terrace house in
:: INFORMATION: Countrywide Property Auctions (0870 240 1140) are in Haydock Park Racecourse,
:: WILL BANK NATIONALISATIONS PROP UP HOUSING MARKET?
Although the Government's massive £37 billion cash injection into
As part of the deal, the banks agreed that borrowers will be able to get competitive mortgages, priced at 2007 levels, for the next three years - and also to establish support schemes for those struggling with mortgage repayments.
There certainly will be more money available for mortgages, but the big question is whether anybody will want it when medium-term prospects remain so gloomy.
"
"Given the deal, the general LIBOR market (the rate at which banks lend to each other) should improve and so other lenders will also begin to lend again, so competition may reappear."
However, Boulger fears that 95% loan-to-value (LTV) mortgages will be scarce for the rest of 2008 - but that lenders may have to exceed a current 90% limit on advances in 2009 if they can't find enough borrowers keen to take the extra money pumped into the system.
"There will be a boost to confidence in the housing market if there is an increased availability of mortgages and rates steadily reduce," he says.
"Assuming this bailout is successful, I see more buyers nibbling from early 2009 and possibly prices stabilising by mid-2009, when a bit more optimism will have returned."
However
"We retain our prediction of a 35% drop in prices from peak to trough, and the trough is likely to arrive at the end of 2009," she says.
"The bank rescue is obviously positive, but the state of the economy will be the decisive influence on housing markets in the next 18 months. Even if the supply of money improves, we see mortgage demand staying weak through 2009 as house prices continue to fall, the economy weakens and unemployment rises."
Housing expert
"In 2009, the market should start to free up. At the moment, the big problem is the level of transactions, which are down by up to 70% on 2006 figures.
"This time next year, I believe prices will have finally stabilised, probably by around 43% down from the peak in some places."
However, the maverick estate agent
"I believe there will be a slow realisation among people who have been dragging money out of various savings institutions that although property can drop in value, it usually keeps the rain off your head.
"Stocks and shares don't do that, and I believe that many who have gone into cash might gradually come around to the idea of investing in something tangible."
Kent also thinks the latest Housing Minister,
"When the public realises that it could be three or four weeks before they are legally allowed to put their own home on sale because of this latest piece of Labour red tape, it could cause an outcry," he says.
"I think Mrs Beckett's long years of experience might send her a message and that she will maintain the status quo, by which owners merely need to have ordered a HIP when their home is marketed by an agent."
ends
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