Tiscali Quicklinks. Please visit our Accessibility Page for a list of the Access Keys you can use to find your way around the site, skip directly to the main navigation, to the page content, or to more links within money.
The exchange itself accuses such people of harking back to the cliché of India as a country of rope tricks and snake charmers instead of promoting it as a new financial powerhouse. And there are plenty of other experts who argue that a few poor months do not undermine the 'decoupling' argument, which holds that emerging markets such as India and China should continue to grow, relatively unscathed by the tremors that are shaking Western economies.
That argument is bolstered by the fact that, despite the drop since January, the Sensex is up a fifth over the 12 months to March, beaten only by Brazil and China among major global markets, while the US market is flat and the UK down 10 per cent over the same period.
While visitors' attention may still be caught by the shanty towns and beggars with which India used to be associated, there are also clear signs of the new dynamism which.....continued below
Overall, the government's latest plan envisages that infrastructure spending will more than double to almost $500bn, from just under $200bn under the last one, although cynics point out that not all of the budgeted spending in previous plans has happened.
Bhupinder Sethi, senior fund manager at Tata Asset Management in Mumbai, says that the huge infrastructure spending in China - which has moved much faster than India - has been a key factor in its much more rapid growth rate. But India has hardly been sluggish: last year's growth rate was almost 9 per cent and growth has been at least 4 per cent in 21 of the past 23 years.
While China has factories, India has services. Literacy levels across the population are still low - around 30 per cent of the population are still illiterate - but there is also a large educated class, with around 400,000 engineers, many of them English-speaking, graduating every year. They are snapped up in the IT support, pharmaceuticals and biotech industries that are India's main selling points. IT services - which has moved into far more sophisticated territory than simply staffing call centres - was worth $50bn in 2007 and is targeted to grow by 60 per cent by 2010.
The potential of this burgeoning middle class has not gone unnoticed and India is attracting considerable foreign investment from companies setting up businesses there - $12.7bn in the year to March - albeit that that is only a third of the sums being directed to China.
It has also been attracting retail and institutional investors into the local stock market, a growing number of whom are investing directly or via country funds.
New Star will join them next month when it launches an equity fund in conjunction with Tata Asset Management, the fund management arm of one of India's biggest companies. This outsourcing is a further sign of the determination of New Star chairman John Duffield to address its recent performance issues by bringing in new talent.
But, as Sethi himself points out, even long-term bull markets like the 20-year Japanese one, which ended abruptly in 1989, had periodic shocks for investors. While the long-term indications are undoubtedly positive, investors in India, or any of the other emerging powerhouses, should be prepared for plenty of turbulence. A small exposure to these markets is advisable, but more cautious investors may prefer to do it through a more diversified fund. Aberdeen, First State and Neptune all have a good reputation in this area.
Small shareholders should demand their rights
HBOS, the Halifax and Bank of Scotland group, has joined Royal Bank of Scotland in asking its shareholders for money through a rights issue and many commentators think that Barclays, Alliance & Leicester and Bradford & Bingley could follow suit.
Retail investors could be forgiven for asking why they should bother: banks' share prices have already fallen very sharply. HBOS stands at little over a third of its peak over the past year while RBS has fallen more than 50 per cent; both are warning that dividends will be cut and that they will pay the interim one in shares rather than cash. Neither makes any secret of the fact that the outlook is challenging at best.
Yet Gavin Oldham, chief executive of the Share Centre, thinks small shareholders should take up their rights. He says that issues such as these are very dilutive - that is, a large number of new shares will be issued. HBOS is offering two new shares for every five held; RBS's is an even chunkier 11 for 18. If shareholders do not take their entitlement, they will end up with a far smaller share of the company - and therefore of its future dividends. Selling at these currently depressed prices does not make much sense either, particularly if, as the companies claim, the rights will help them to manage their way out of their current financial problems.
While it may be tempting to sell your rights - each HBOS entitlement is currently worth around 200p, for example - it is probably better to take money out of your account and put it into their rights.
· Heather Connon's research trip to India was funded by New Star and Tata.
guardian.co.uk © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2008