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Henry Pryor on Property

Henry Pryor

15/04/2008: House prices falling by £1,000 a week

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Latest figures released by Communities and Local Government confirm that house prices are falling fast, with the average price in February down to £217,000 from £221,000 in January.

This confirms my own observations of the market which sees average house prices falling by about £1,000 a week at present.

According the the Governments own statistics, annual house price inflation in Scotland was 9.7%, in Northern Ireland 3.7%, Wales 3.8% and in England 6.6%.

Prices fell 0.5% for the quarter ending February 2008 but since these figures are based on about 50,000 sale completions - most of which would have been agreed last year we should expect these figures to continue to fall.

Like all historic surveys this one tells us what things were like three or four months ago. As most people know, the market today is suffering from chronic funding problems which we hope will have been eased by the Prime Minister's meeting with representatives from the banks and other lenders.

Although larger houses will have seen greater falls in real terms the average home is loosing about £1000 a week at present.

Many vendors who are still ignoring advice and quoting last year's asking price are finding that buyers are put off and as a result, currently only about 1 in 5 homes is finding a buyer.

The recent RICS survey illustrates that surveyors are feeling equally gloomy and we must expect this to get worse before it gets better.

Comments reported from the head of the Grosvenor Estate in London suggests that even those involved in the top end of the market are concerned and I share Jeremy Helsby's view that the market - even at the top - could fall by up to 20% from it's peak last year.

In my experience, wealthy people are usually rich because they are sensible and I think it's unlikely that they will continue to pay over the odds for property for themselves when they can see buying opportunities lower down the market.

Share your thoughts

Do you disagree? Or agree? Let us know what you think and help shape future articles by emailing PryorOnProperty@mac.com

 

CommentsPlease login to leave a comment or report a post

Added: 6 May 2008 20:04
Georgie says:
The house I viewed about three weeks ago has now been reduced again. The asking price has come down by just over 25% now, and this is not an isolated case. The increased interest rates don't just impact on first time buyers. A differece of percent or two on a big mortgage makes a huge difference to the monthly outgoings. Our current mortguage is less than one and a half times household income. Yes, we are lucky and we could borrow more to move up the ladder but you have to assess impact on quality of life paying huge repayments? Also what a responsiblity, a job loss and its curtains. If current house prices require people borrow many multiples of their salaries house prices are too high. There should be a correction. When we bought our first flat 15 years ago nobody borrowed more than 3 times household income. We had a chance of paying it off in 25 years! Will anyone today ever own their home?
Added: 23 April 2008 11:35
Geoff says:
The main problem in housing just now is for the first time buyer as borrowing is now more expensive. Most people who took out a mortgage regardless of the cost of the property could afford the payments at the time so what has changed, are they suddenly out of work or took a massive pay cut, no it is peoples short term greed that is not being satisfied any more.For the majority of the market the price to change is just the same as last year and will continue to be so.
Added: 20 April 2008 13:11
andy says:
low unemployment,low interest rates, no sign of house price crash. people are just taking their houses of the market until the banks start to lend again,and that won't be long folks!
Added: 19 April 2008 21:22
David says:
Please excuse the spelling mistake
Added: 19 April 2008 21:07
David says:
Do people realise what its like at the bottom of the pile? The poor unfortunate soles ruined by misfortune and greed.The families with children who do not know where they will live in a few months time or which school they will go to (Short term Tenancy victims) The corrupt councils who couldnt run housing anymore and now we have housing associations who award property by stars to foreigners. If you dont believe this well when things get really bad you may find your way to the bottom of the pile. Lets hope all those greedy people who bought property to parasite on the unfortunate get what they deserve having to live in a damp slum and pay £100/week Oh dont forget No DSS No children No Pets and No freedom to live. I personally cant wait to see private Landlords Estate agents Solicitors etc being dumped at the bottom of the pile as they were in the last property crash.
Added: 19 April 2008 17:30
Georgie says:
I went to view 2 large family houses in South London this week, one had been recently reduced by around 7% and the other was reduced by 10% the day after I viewed it. I don't think everyone is getting their asking price at the moment and its about time the prices are bonkers.
Added: 17 April 2008 18:37
andy says:
£1000 a week drop in house prices! I just sold my house in chesham for the full asking price and also had two previous offers close to the asking price,less doom and gloom merchants please.
Added: 17 April 2008 11:17
Ian says:
This nonsense about house prices falling £1000 a week what it should say is that house prices have stopped going up a £1000 a week as they have been. No wonder the price of houses become ridiculous since houses are now treated as commodities and not as homes. It is little wonder that people live next door to strangers these days as the fast buck house traders snap up everything for a quick turn around. My only hope is that the rest of us who bought our houses to use as our home don`t end up paying for this capitalist greed. Children these days stand little chance of ever getting into the housing market. The current situation goes to show that out of control property trading does not make a prosperous economy.
Added: 16 April 2008 20:21
David says:
The sooner the market crashes the better Properties need to lose 50% of their value or the economy will be doomed even further. As for comments on poor credit ratings who are the credit agencies to comment.What do they know? Nothing at all. How can people have bought properties to let for which they do not have the funds? Crazy!!!
Added: 16 April 2008 19:42
Geoff says:
Sam Maybe if the young saved more insted of going out all the time they would be in a position to buy because thay would have a deposit! Also, Gordon make the banks tow the line with intrest rate cuts. If they won't cut tax them to death and use the revenue to re-introduce mortgage tax relief. After all the banks profits still seem healthy through these troubled times

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