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Health Centres - Asthma - extent of asthma in the UK
Written by Dr George Russell, reader in child health, University of Aberdeen
What is epidemiology?Epidemiology is the study of disease in populations.
Its purpose is to examine variations in disease in relation to differences in (for instance):
- geography
- race
- age
- sex
- climate
- time.
Epidemiological studies serve a variety of purposes.
- To establish the extent of a problem, for instance to ensure that:
medical facilities match likely demand
- cases are not being missed by the medical services
- cases are not being missed by screening programmes.
- To examine changes over time in the prevalence of disease, which might:
provide clues as to the cause
- indicate efficacy of interventions, such as anti-pollution or immunisation programmes.
- To compare one area or population with another, for instance:
to identify targets for intervention
- provide clues as to the cause.
Epidemiological studies provide valuable clues to the cause of disease. Classical examples include:
- the link between water pollution and typhoid fever
- the link between smoking and lung cancer.
It was possible to apply epidemiological techniques to these studies, because:
- some people drank polluted water, and some didn't
- some people smoked, and others didn't.
If everyone drank polluted water, or if everyone had typhoid fever, Salmonella typhi from polluted water would still be the cause of typhoid fever, but the link would not be apparent. Similarly, if everyone smoked, smoking would still be the major cause of lung cancer, but epidemiological methods would fail to demonstrate the association.
It was also possible to study these conditions because the diseases themselves were well defined. You either have typhoid or you don't; carriers may cause some confusion, but during an epidemic (such as we had in Aberdeen in the '60s) there is seldom any doubt. Similarly, the diagnosis of lung cancer is usually unequivocal.
In contrast, the epidemiological study of asthma is difficult because:
- it is widespread
- it affects all groups within society
- most importantly, is difficult to define.
Before the extent of asthma can be discussed sensibly, two issues need to be addressed:
- epidemiological terminology
- what we mean by 'asthma'.
Epidemiological terminology
Like all scientific disciplines, epidemiology has its own distinctive vocabulary. In particular, prevalence and incidence have quite different meanings.
Prevalence
The prevalence of a condition refers to 'The proportion of individuals in a defined population who have that condition'.
Prevalence may be measured:
- at a single point in time (point prevalence)
- over a defined period of time (period prevalence)
- over an individual's entire lifetime (life-time prevalence).
Clearly, depending on the period studied, the question asked, or the test performed, entirely different answers will be obtained. Thus, the prevalence of wheeze will differ widely depending on whether the period studied is a single day, a week, a year, or the patient's lifetime, and the prevalence of wheeze will not be same as the prevalence of asthma.
Incidence
. The incidence of a condition describes 'The number of new cases arising in a defined population during a specified period'.
Thus, because asthma is a chronic disorder, the incidence of new cases during a period of, say, a year, will be vastly less than the prevalence of asthma in the same population.
Incidence is also used to describe the frequency of events such as wheezing attacks and hospital admissions.
At first sight these precise definitions may appear to be pedantic, but they are important. For instance, the great majority of modern asthma surveys (including the International Study of Asthma and Allergy in Childhood - ISAAC) include a question on wheezing during the past year. Some older studies, such as those from Aberdeen with which I have been involved, enquire about wheeze in the past three years, giving a higher prevalence of wheeze than studies conducted using the ISAAC protocol.
Precision is therefore all-important. Before comparing the results of different studies, it is essential to examine them in detail, to ensure that like is being compared with like.
Definitions of asthma
Older readers will remember the Brains Trust that ran for many years on the BBC Home Service. One of the Brains, Professor Joad, used to play for time by prefacing every answer with the phrase, 'It all depends what you mean by â¦' This approach is particularly relevant to asthma, as there is no easily applied or widely accepted definition, and the term means different things to different people.
Asthma may not even be a single disease, but the culmination in a common group of symptoms of several distinct pathological processes. There are however certain features that are widely used in defining asthma, each of which will identify a different population, highlighting the impossibility of discussing the extent of asthma with any precision.
Recurrent wheeze
Wheeze is the hallmark of asthma, but:
- not all asthmatics wheeze
- some asthmatics have cough-variant asthma, in which the principal symptom is cough.
Recurrent wheeze is often interpreted as asthma, but asthma is by no means the only cause of wheeze.